segunda-feira, 16 de março de 2020

ARE NEWS MEDIAS OVERREACTING ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS COVID-19?

I have seen lots of Christians posting their opinion in social medias, senseless videos of confused laymen and religious preachers affirming/acussing that all News Medias are overreacting about this coronavirus COVID-19 infectious disease but I don´t think this way, at all, due to two main important aspects. 

First perspective

If the whole world is shutting down, all countries closing their border, all economies being drastically affected by the measures taken to contain COVID-19, should we think that is just a bad joke, a practicing game or a consparicy measure to kill old people so we will have less population of the earth to eat? Many absurdities are coming out of people who have no healthcare training nor knowledge, and have no idea what this disease is all about.

An uncontrolled pandemic in which almost all countries are presenting the same infection which started at Wuhan, China, knows no borders, no group of people, no reach nor poor, and certainly is not intimidated whatsoever by money!


Source: Local governments/World Health Organization.
Last update: March 16, 2020.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/01/countries-confirmed-cases-coronavirus-200125070959786.html

On Saturday I published here that the infection rate, getting all cases of the world combined, was 3,74%. The number was 145,374 of infected peole and 5,429 had died. 

So clearly the rate is not diminishing and it can possibly mean two things: a) Virus is becoming more virulent. We explained earlier that there are two strains of COVID-19. The "L" strain might be elevating its appearance infecting more people than the "S" strain which is less lethal; or 2) Countries Governmental Authorities are not reporting the real number of people infected (in another words, lying to us) to not cause panic. 

I have been following following the mortality rate numbers of this disease, which I consider to be important, since its very beginning. The mortality rate started around 10 times higher than the flu in the US, around 1%.

Today the rate is 4%. More than 160,000 people were affected and 6,400 people have died around the world, so far.

Am I in panic mode? No, because "...I know whom I have believed, and am convinced that he is able to guard what I have entrusted to him until that day." (2 Timothy 1:12). I am just reporting real numbers, that is all. 


Remember: The lower number of infected the higher is the mortality rate implying that more aggressive/infectant is this virus. If the number of infected people is much higher it means that this virius is highly transmissible but less virulent, less lethal which I would prefer. But the real numbers are to appear so we can understand the reality of this disease. There is no way to lying in public health, sooner or later the truth numbers will come out! Trying to hide the truth will cause panic! 

Pandemic diseases have a different path to be treated. There is no point in hiding numbers so as not to generate panic. The correct way for public healthcare authorities is to have serious, effective and draconian intervention policies in order to solve the problem. Hearing that stock market is improving, or that one's country is rich, and blah blah blah, does not solve anything, does not stop any virus. It is just denying and neglecting reality; ABSURD!

Draw Parkhill, a Financial Editor at CBN News, don´t think any recession will affect the USA because in the first quarter the economy went really well and even if it happens in the next quarter the economy can rebound very quickly. That is a childish thought and not serious talk!

In the USA COVID-19 testing has become really disappointing and frustrating because it seems there is a strong wave saying "don´t test don´t tell". Why? The Government does not want to pay for it? So we do not have the real numbers coming from the most powerful nation in the world. If you do not test you do not have infected people, simples is that!

On the other hand, here in Brazil, a third world country, the ANS (National Agency of Healthcare) has added COVID-19 testing is a mandatory procedure of its list basic interventions covered by the government; It is free. You can check this out at http://www.ans.gov.br/aans/noticias-ans/consumidor/5405-ans-inclui-exame-para-deteccao-de-coronavirus-no-rol-de-procedimentos-obrigatorios

As a matter of curiosity, influenza viruses (which cause flu) are highly infectious but the lethality is low, around 0.1% in the USA. The infectious agents of Pneumonia, remembering that COVID-19 causes Interstitial Pneumonia, are not usually transmitted easily but can be very lethal.

I mentioned once elsewhere and I will mentioned it again here: "THERE IS NO HEALTHCARE SYSTEM IN THE WORLD, IT DOES NOT MATTER HOW FILTH RICH IS THE NATION, THAT CAN DEAL WITH AN UNCONTROLLED PANDEMIC DISEASE." 

Yesterday the Queen of England has left her palace and all her wealth to a safe place. That tells us a lot! Indeed may God save the Queen.

Practicing SOCIAL DISTANCING is the only way now to not overwhelm the Healthcare System in the USA, which contains around 160 thousand ICU beds, making a long "mound" out of the high "mountain" (steep rise) which is surging ahead of North Americans. This is mathematicians mean by "flattening (spread out) the curve" of this infectious disease epidemiologically speaking.



In the USA, the upward curve in the Cartesian system, maybe, has just started but with the appearance of clusters all over, the rise of this curve will be worrying, as the Healthcare system will not be able to handle all cases of infection requiring hospitalization, unless North Americans begin practicing SOCIAL DISTANCING. Doing so the number of cases will be lower and the system will have more time to recover and serve all those in need of medical treatment in the near future.

Second perspective

Jesus Christ clearly warned us twice about such events in Matthew 24 and in Revelation. Why not believe in His words?

This is a wake up call!

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